SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
58.31% ( 0.71) | 23.29% ( -0.31) | 18.39% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% ( 0.63) | 51.08% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% ( 0.55) | 72.94% ( -0.56) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( 0.49) | 17.24% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( 0.85) | 47.55% ( -0.86) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.11) | 41.78% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.75% ( -0.09) | 78.25% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.39% |
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