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SL
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
P

Swansea
2 - 2
Portsmouth

Ogilvie (45+2' og.), Cullen (54')
Cabango (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ritchie (25'), Murphy (45')
Pack (1'), Mousinho (2'), Ritchie (35'), Cullen (36'), Blair (83'), Dozzell (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Preston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Portsmouth

Pompey will be raring to go following the recent postponement, but while they will be targeting a second straight win, we think that the relegation-threatened side may fall to a narrow defeat when they face a Swansea side that have won three of their last five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPortsmouth
48.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)47.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)70% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)19.74% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)51.77% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)31.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.023 -0.02)68.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.56%
    Portsmouth 26.81%
    Draw 24.63%
Swansea CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Preston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Sheff Weds
Friday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship


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