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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth |
44.94% ( -0.49) | 25.25% ( -0.11) | 29.81% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( 0.74) | 48.64% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( 0.67) | 70.76% ( -0.67) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.09) | 21.64% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.13) | 54.77% ( -0.13) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0.81) | 30.15% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% ( 0.96) | 66.3% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.81% |
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