With both sides desperate for three points to strengthen their position in the fight at the bottom end of the Championship, we anticipate a tight contest at Fratton Park on Saturday.
Given the hosts' defensive frailties, we back Paul Heckingbottom's men to end their wait for a fourth league victory of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
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