While Portsmouth may have fared well in recent home outings, they will be aware of the tough test that awaits them on Saturday, and we think that Middlesbrough will have the extra quality required to condemn Pompey to their first home defeat since October. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
26.44% ( 0.04)	23.75% ( -0.02)	49.8% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.22% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77% (

0.11)

44.23% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39% (

0.11)

66.6% (

-0.11)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

0.09)

30.34% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47% (

0.11)

66.52% (

-0.11)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

0.03)

17.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

0.05)

48.61% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 26.44%

Middlesbrough 49.81%

Draw 23.75%

Portsmouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.44%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.81%