Pompey may have lost their final two matches of 2024, but they will now return to Fratton Park where they are unbeaten in four games, and we think that they will do enough to extend that undefeated streak by holding Swansea to a draw in the New Year's Day fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
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