SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
40.72% ( 0.1) | 24.83% ( 0.01) | 34.45% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.82% ( -0.06) | 45.17% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( -0.06) | 67.52% ( 0.06) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.02) | 22.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( 0.03) | 55.53% ( -0.03) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.09) | 25.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -0.13) | 60.31% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.45% |
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