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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
WB

Portsmouth
0 - 3
West Brom


Saydee (9'), Mousinho (10'), Norris (28'), Murphy (35'), Ogilvie (85'), Pack (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maja (1'), Mowatt (51', 90+2')
Ajayi (43'), Fellows (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-3 Sunderland
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

With Portsmouth's only defeat coming against leaders Sunderland, there will be no complacency on West Brom's behalf. That could lead to the visitors grinding out a hard-fought victory, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
32.07% (1.985 1.99) 25.21% (1.097 1.1) 42.72% (-3.081 -3.08)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-2.778 -2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-4.065 -4.07)47.52% (4.068 4.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (-3.878 -3.88)69.73% (3.881 3.88)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)28.07% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.921 -0.92)63.73% (0.925 0.93)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (-3.05 -3.05)22.2% (3.053 3.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-4.812 -4.81)55.6% (4.815 4.82)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 32.07%
    West Bromwich Albion 42.73%
    Draw 25.2%
PortsmouthDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 7.92% (1.128 1.13)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.294 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.628 0.63)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.228 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.69 0.69)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.994 0.99)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.722 0.72)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.612 -0.61)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.455 -0.46)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-3 Sunderland
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Luton
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 West Brom
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-3 West Brom
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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