Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for West Bromwich Albion.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
34.11% ( -1.53) | 25.84% ( -0.42) | 40.05% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( 1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.26% ( 1.6) | 49.74% ( -1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.25% ( 1.42) | 71.74% ( -1.42) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0.16) | 27.86% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% ( -0.2) | 63.46% ( 0.21) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.5% ( 1.79) | 24.49% ( -1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% ( 2.45) | 58.95% ( -2.45) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.05% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: