There is not a great deal separating the two sides, so we expect this one to finish as a draw.
Millwall have been impressive at home so far during this campaign, but Watford recorded a good win against Norwich last time out, and they will be coming into the game full of confidence.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
0.81) 
-0.88) 
