Watford
1 - 3
Stoke

Fletcher (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')

Preview

Xisco Munoz bemoans Watford's luck after 'incredible' Carabao Cup exit

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Stoke City
40.06%	26.56%	33.39%

Both teams to score 51.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.11%

52.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.5%

74.5%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08%

60.93%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14%

29.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05%

65.96%

Score Analysis

Watford 40.05%

Stoke City 33.39%

Draw 26.56%

Watford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.05%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.39%