Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
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