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Championship | 2nd Leg
May 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
S

Luton
2 - 0
Sunderland

Osho (10'), Lockyer (43')
Clark (18'), Ruddock (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Nien (30'), Alese (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
45.54% (-1.24 -1.24) 27.37% (0.338 0.34) 27.09% (0.899 0.9)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-0.691 -0.69)58.26% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-0.544 -0.54)78.89% (0.541 0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.917 -0.92)25.53% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (-1.267 -1.27)60.39% (1.262 1.26)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.379 0.38)37.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.375 0.38)74.1% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 45.53%
    Sunderland 27.09%
    Draw 27.36%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.337 0.34)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Hull City
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Luton
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Luton
Saturday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Sunderland
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Sunderland
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship


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