Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
29.77%	27.42%	42.81%

Both teams to score 48.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.77%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37%

34.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64%

71.35%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36%

61.63%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 29.77%

Middlesbrough 42.81%

Draw 27.41%

Luton Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.77%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.81%