Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Reading
33.03%	27.2%	39.77%

Both teams to score 49.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5%

55.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32%

76.68%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59%

31.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22%

67.78%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.73%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 33.03%

Reading 39.77%

Draw 27.2%

Luton Town	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.03%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2% Total : 39.77%