Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
