Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Birmingham City
40.76%	29.16%	30.08%

Both teams to score 43.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.92%

63.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.48%

82.52%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6%

30.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4%

66.6%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44%

37.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66%

74.34%

Score Analysis

Reading 40.76%

Birmingham City 30.08%

Draw 29.14%

Reading	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.93% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 40.76%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.14%	0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 30.08%