Although Stoke have only collected four points this season, they are unbeaten in their last four home league games, and we think that they will extend that run by playing out a score draw with Sunderland. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
42.43% ( 5.95)	26.91% ( 0.83)	30.66% ( -6.79)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

-4.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

-4.52)

55% (

4.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-3.86)

76.27% (

3.86)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

1.16)

25.63% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

1.56)

60.53% (

-1.56)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-6.56)

32.8% (

6.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

-8.01)

69.37% (

8.01)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 42.43%

Sunderland 30.66%

Draw 26.9%

Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2.18) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 1.69) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.86) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.43%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 1.38) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.62) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -1.18) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -1.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -1.05) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.86) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.63) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.66%