Although Reading have won their last two matches, we think that a Millwall side that have won their last five Championship games will edge out the Royals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Reading had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Reading
60.68% ( 0.22)	24.25% ( 0.05)	15.07% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 39.49% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.72% (

-0.57)

59.28% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.31% (

-0.45)

79.69% (

0.44)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

-0.14)

19.42% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

-0.23)

51.25% (

0.23)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.01% (

-0.73)

50.99% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.66% (

-0.5)

85.33% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Millwall 60.67%

Reading 15.07%

Draw 24.25%

Millwall	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 16.23% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 60.67%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 15.07%