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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
BC

Swansea
1 - 2
Bristol City

Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Bristol City

Judging by the starts of both sides, this can be nothing but a hard-fought contest. Bristol City will fancy their chances of extending Swansea's poor start, yet we feel that the Welsh outfit will rally in the closing stages to register a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
43.25% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 30.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)53% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.023999999999997 0.02)74.59% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29%58.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.25%
    Bristol City 30.38%
    Draw 26.36%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 2-3 Bournemouth
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 5-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Preston
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship


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