Rotherham United have shown themselves to be tough to beat in recent weeks and will certainly make things difficult for their third-placed visitors, but we see the in-form Hatters having enough quality to get over the line at the New York Stadium and return home with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
0.41) 
-0.06) 
