SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
61.63% ( 0.03) | 22.54% ( 0.01) | 15.83% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0.1) | 52.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0.08) | 73.8% ( 0.08) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.02) | 16.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% ( -0.04) | 46.12% ( 0.04) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.41% ( -0.11) | 45.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.6% ( -0.09) | 81.4% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.83% |
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