Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
36.65%	28.11%	35.24%

Both teams to score 47.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32%

58.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78%

79.22%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33%

30.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08%

66.92%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43%

31.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04%

67.96%

Score Analysis

Derby County 36.64%

Preston North End 35.24%

Draw 28.11%

Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.64%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.24%