SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
48.85% ( 0.07) | 25.04% ( -0) | 26.1% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.05) | 50% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.04) | 71.98% ( 0.04) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.01) | 20.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( 0.02) | 52.97% ( -0.02) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.08) | 33.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( -0.09) | 70.31% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.1% |
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