SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Southampton |
44.27% ( 0.03) | 23.79% ( 0) | 31.94% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.01) | 41.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( -0.01) | 63.49% ( 0.02) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.01) | 18.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.72% ( 0.02) | 50.28% ( -0.01) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( -0.02) | 25.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.32% ( -0.04) | 59.68% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.42% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.94% |
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