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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
SL

Sunderland
5 - 0
Southampton

Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mara (35'), Adams (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Southampton

With Sunderland seemingly growing in confidence, this could prove to be a more competitive game than the table would have you believe. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Southampton's ability to score and to score late, leading us to back a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
44.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)25.01% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.27%
    Southampton 31.94%
    Draw 23.79%
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Crewe (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship
Last Game: Hartlepool 5-2 Sunderland
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Southampton
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Southampton
Friday, August 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 AZ
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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