Given how they fared last time out, we are expecting a much tighter affair, one which may benefit the visitors more so than the hosts. Nevertheless, the Saints can only have benefitted from some time on the training pitch after the recent upheaval, leaving us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
