SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Southampton |
50.04% ( 0.2) | 22.83% ( -0.11) | 27.13% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.47) | 39.42% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( 0.49) | 61.76% ( -0.5) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( 0.25) | 15.97% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.74% ( 0.45) | 45.26% ( -0.46) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.18) | 27.32% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( 0.23) | 62.77% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 50.04% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
