SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
35.67% ( -0.14) | 25.03% ( 0.15) | 39.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.11% ( -0.72) | 45.89% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( -0.69) | 68.2% ( 0.68) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( -0.41) | 25.11% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% ( -0.57) | 59.81% ( 0.57) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.33) | 23.16% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( -0.48) | 57.04% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.3% |
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