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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
BL

Bristol City
4 - 2
Birmingham

Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Pring (33'), Semenyo (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Long (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Birmingham City

The pressure is currently on these two relatively-big Championship sides as they bid to avoid a relegation battle this campaign. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw played out, one which will not necessarily benefit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
42.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 29.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)79.36% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)35.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.021999999999998 0.02)72.32% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.43%
    Birmingham City 29.71%
    Draw 27.86%
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.61%
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.43%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Swansea
Sunday, January 8 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Bristol City
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 West Brom
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Hull City
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-2 Reading
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Sunderland
Friday, November 11 at 8pm in Championship


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