SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
51.7% ( -0.05) | 23.42% ( -0.01) | 24.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( 0.09) | 44.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( 0.08) | 66.46% ( -0.09) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( 0.01) | 17.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( 0.02) | 47.27% ( -0.02) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( 0.1) | 31.5% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( 0.11) | 67.88% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.88% |
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