SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
26.59% ( -0.1) | 24.79% ( 0.02) | 48.63% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.13) | 48.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.12) | 70.73% ( 0.12) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.15) | 32.54% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( -0.17) | 69.07% ( 0.17) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( -0.02) | 20.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( -0.03) | 52.24% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.59% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 48.63% |
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