Earlier in this season, this may have been regarded as an away banker, but times have changed. Although Norwich have shown promise under Wagner, they are facing a team playing with confidence, and we expect a competitive draw to occur at Ashton Gate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.02) 
