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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
NL

Swansea
1 - 0
Norwich

Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

Having surprised Coventry last time out, Norwich are arguably the favourites for this contest. However, with Swansea unbeaten at their home ground, we are backing them to earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
53.82% (0.1 0.1) 23.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 22.72% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6% (0.161 0.16)46.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (0.151 0.15)68.68% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.095999999999989 0.1)17.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (0.168 0.17)47.41% (-0.167 -0.17)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.043999999999997 0.04)34.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.35% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.82%
    Norwich City 22.72%
    Draw 23.45%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Preston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-0 Norwich
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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