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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
NL

Swansea
2 - 1
Norwich

Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-2 Norwich City

None of the last nine league encounters between Swansea and Norwich have ended as a draw, but a closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both teams have regularly shown their threat in the final third so far this term, but they have also looked vulnerable at times defensively, so we can see an entertaining score draw being played out in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
41.46% (-0.215 -0.22) 24.11% (-0.142 -0.14) 34.43% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.61% (0.625 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.773 0.77)41.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.775 0.77)64.2% (-0.771 -0.77)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (0.232 0.23)20.35% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (0.363 0.36)52.76% (-0.359 -0.36)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.568 0.57)23.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.807 0.81)58.1% (-0.802 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.46%
    Norwich City 34.43%
    Draw 24.11%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-3 Bournemouth
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 6-2 Norwich
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Leicester
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship


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