SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.51% ( 1.8) | 23.6% ( 0.19) | 19.88% ( -2) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( -3.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.66% ( -3.21) | 50.34% ( 3.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% ( -2.92) | 72.28% ( 2.91) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( -0.52) | 17.62% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.78% ( -0.9) | 48.21% ( 0.9) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( -3.86) | 39.68% ( 3.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( -3.76) | 76.35% ( 3.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 1.31) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.98)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.86)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.53)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.34% Total : 19.88% |
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