Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Sheffield United |
45.6% ( 0.28) | 25.66% ( -0.11) | 28.74% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% ( 0.36) | 50.89% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% ( 0.31) | 72.77% ( -0.32) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 0.28) | 22.29% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( 0.42) | 55.75% ( -0.42) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.92% ( 0.06) | 32.08% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% ( 0.06) | 68.55% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Sheffield United |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.74% |
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