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Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
SL
Swansea logo

Cardiff
3 - 0
Swansea

Robinson (47', 51'), Goutas (67')
Ralls (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grimes (45+5'), Cullen (81'), Bianchini (88'), Cabango (90'), Bianchini (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

The freshest legs at the Cardiff City Stadium will no doubt belong to the visitors, but Williams could be working around a diminished defence yet again, and his side are hardly pulling up trees on the road. As was the case in September, we can envisage another closely-contested derby ending all square, as the Bluebirds remarkably play out their fourth 1-1 Championship draw in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
41.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 26.16% (-0.032 -0.03) 32.66% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.02% (0.275 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.274 0.27)51.43% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.239 0.24)73.24% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.139 -0.14)24.68% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)59.2% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.49600000000001 0.5)29.61% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.598 0.6)65.65% (-0.59599999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 41.17%
    Swansea City 32.66%
    Draw 26.16%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Cardiff
Thursday, January 9 at 7pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Cardiff
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Cardiff
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Swansea
Sunday, January 12 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Swansea
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 QPR
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship


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