Luton's away form is so poor that it is difficult to back them despite the obvious quality in their squad; the Hatters should give their fans a goal to cheer, but we are expecting the hosts to secure all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
53.75% ( 0.01)	24.24% ( -0)	22.01% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.78% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-0)

50.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0)

72.36%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31% (

18.69% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.97% (

50.03% (

-0.01)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44% (

-0.01)

37.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.67% (

-0.01)

74.33% (

Score Analysis

Swansea City 53.75%

Luton Town 22.01%

Draw 24.23%

Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.75%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.01%