SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Swansea City |
59.85% ( 0.14) | 21.62% ( -0.06) | 18.53% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 0.11) | 43.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.11) | 66.3% ( -0.11) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( 0.08) | 14.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( 0.16) | 42.06% ( -0.16) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.57% ( -0.03) | 37.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( -0.03) | 74.21% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 18.53% |
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