Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
