Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Cardiff City
39.58%	26.77%	33.65%

Both teams to score 51.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32%

53.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83%

75.17%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24%

61.75%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91%

30.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78%

66.22%

Score Analysis

Watford 39.58%

Cardiff City 33.65%

Draw 26.77%

Watford	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.58%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.65%