SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
33.22% ( -0.03) | 27.07% ( -0.01) | 39.71% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% ( 0.04) | 54.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% ( 0.04) | 76.24% ( -0.04) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( 0) | 31.01% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.68% ( 0) | 67.32% ( -0) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.04) | 27.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.55% ( 0.06) | 62.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.7% |
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