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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
BL

Sunderland
1 - 5
Blackburn

Rigg (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Szmodics (29', 36'), Hedges (47'), Dolan (54'), Moran (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Whether Friday's impressive beating of Cardiff is the catalyst for better attacking fortunes for Sunderland only time will tell, but Dodds's men arrive on Monday as the firm favourites to see off a Blackburn side whose away form has been lacklustre throughout 2024. Eustace's men showed enough offensive endeavour against Ipswich to suggest that they can breach the Sunderland goal, but the Black Cats should bite back harder to put another dent in their visitors' survival bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawBlackburn Rovers
47.38% (0.064 0.06) 23.71% (-0.145 -0.15) 28.91% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.39% (0.562 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.717 0.72)42.27% (-0.72 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.712 0.71)64.67% (-0.715 -0.72)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.304 0.3)18.04% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.07% (0.51900000000001 0.52)48.93% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.416 0.42)27.54% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (0.535 0.53)63.05% (-0.538 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.38%
    Blackburn Rovers 28.91%
    Draw 23.71%
SunderlandDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sunderland
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-2 Sunderland
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Ipswich
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Newcastle (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup


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