SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Swansea City |
37.37% ( 0.09) | 26.22% ( 0.02) | 36.41% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.1) | 51.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.08) | 72.98% ( 0.09) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( 0) | 26.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( 0.01) | 61.81% ( -0.01) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.11) | 27.14% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.14) | 62.54% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.41% |
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