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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
WB

Leeds
1 - 1
West Brom

Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With both teams failing to convince during the early weeks of the season, this is a difficult match to call. Although West Brom will hold a certain level of confidence from seeing off Swansea, they look vulnerable in defence, leading us to predict a narrow home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
35.46% (1.475 1.48) 24.47% (0.161 0.16) 40.07% (-1.631 -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)43.31% (0.465 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.454 -0.45)65.71% (0.459 0.46)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.617 0.62)24.03% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.87 0.87)58.29% (-0.865 -0.87)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.961 -0.96)21.65% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-1.497 -1.5)54.78% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 35.46%
    West Bromwich Albion 40.07%
    Draw 24.47%
Leeds UnitedDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.168 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.09% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Cardiff
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Leeds
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Monaco
Saturday, July 22 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: West Brom 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bolton 4-3 West Brom
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Forest Green
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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