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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
P

West Brom
5 - 1
Portsmouth

Mowatt (25'), Diangana (32', 44'), Wallace (37'), Swift (57')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Waddingham (90+3')
Dozzell (61'), Ritchie (62'), Williams (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Portsmouth

With a hostile Hawthorns crowd behind them on Mowbray's return, West Brom will be expecting a return to winning ways against relegation-threatened Portsmouth. Pompey have been excellent at Fratton Park in recent times but have won just one away game all season, and we do not envisage the visitors adding to that tally in the Black Country this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawPortsmouth
64.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 21.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 13.41% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 41.64% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)54.09% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.133 -0.13)75.52% (0.134 0.13)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)16.12% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)45.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (-0.243 -0.24)50.36% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.09% (-0.168 -0.17)84.91% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 64.65%
    Portsmouth 13.41%
    Draw 21.94%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 14.81% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 13.52% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.23% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 64.65%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 13.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 West Brom
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 5-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Preston
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 West Brom
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 18 at 3.35pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Portsmouth
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Swansea
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship


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