Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rotherham United in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Rotherham United
35.04%	27.85%	37.1%

Both teams to score 48.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.27%

57.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53%

78.47%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45%

67.55%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08%

29.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98%

66.02%

Score Analysis

Derby County 35.04%

Rotherham United 37.1%

Draw 27.85%

Derby County	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.1%