Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Derby County
34.78%	27.05%	38.18%

Both teams to score 50.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.37%

54.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03%

75.97%

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16%

29.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08%

65.92%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22%

27.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.63%

63.36%

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 34.77%

Derby County 38.17%

Draw 27.05%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.17%