SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
37.92% ( 0.07) | 28.79% ( 0.04) | 33.28% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.14) | 61.25% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.82% ( -0.11) | 81.18% ( 0.11) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( -0.02) | 31.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( -0.03) | 67.51% ( 0.03) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.15) | 34.21% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -0.16) | 70.91% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.28% |
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