SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
24.46% ( 0.53) | 23.99% ( 0.19) | 51.55% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.32) | 46.95% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.31) | 69.2% ( 0.3) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.28) | 33.39% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( 0.31) | 70.02% ( -0.31) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.4) | 18.22% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -0.68) | 49.23% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.46% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.54% |
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