Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
