Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.